Compounding, pointed at you
Inflation is compound interest running against your money. The formula is the familiar one inverted:
purchasing power = amount / (1 + inflation)^years
At 6% inflation, ₹1,00,000 becomes, in what it can buy, about ₹49,697 after 12 years. Nothing was spent, nothing was lost to fees; prices simply doubled around a static number. The rule of 72 gives the shortcut: 72 ÷ 6 = 12 years per doubling of prices, which is the same thing as a halving of purchasing power.
The erosion table
What ₹1,00,000 of today's purchasing power looks like over time, by inflation rate:
| Years | 4% inflation | 6% inflation | 8% inflation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ₹82,193 | ₹74,726 | ₹68,058 |
| 12 | ₹62,460 | ₹49,697 | ₹39,711 |
| 20 | ₹45,639 | ₹31,180 | ₹21,455 |
| 30 | ₹30,832 | ₹17,411 | ₹9,938 |
The 30-year row is the retirement-planning row: at 6% inflation, money parked in cash for a working lifetime keeps about a sixth of its buying power. This is why "safe" is the wrong word for cash over decades, it is safe from volatility and defenceless against inflation.
Real vs nominal: the only return that counts
Every quoted rate is nominal. The return that changes your life is real:
real return ≈ nominal return − inflation
(The exact form divides rather than subtracts, but the approximation is fine below ~10%.) A 7% fixed deposit during 6% inflation is a 1% real return, your wealth is nearly standing still while the account statement climbs. An equity return of 11% in the same environment is 5% real. Judge every investment this way, and the compound interest calculator run at the real rate shows your genuine trajectory.
Planning forward: inflate the target
The formula runs both directions. A goal that costs ₹25 lakh today, a wedding, an education, will cost ₹25 lakh × (1.06)^10 ≈ ₹44.8 lakh in ten years at 6% inflation. Set the future figure as the target, not the present one. Education deserves particular caution: fee inflation has historically outrun headline CPI, so 8–10% is a defensible assumption there even when general inflation is 6%.
What to actually do about it
- Keep cash for its job, emergencies and goals within ~3 years. The savings goal calculator covers that horizon, where inflation has little time to bite.
- Move long-horizon money into growth assets, a monthly plan via the SIP calculator is the standard route; equity has been the reliable long-run inflation-beater, at the price of a rough ride.
- Measure past investments honestly, the CAGR calculator gives the nominal annual rate; subtract inflation before congratulating yourself.
- Revisit assumptions, inflation is not constant. Rerun plans when the environment shifts; a plan built on 4% breaks quietly in a 7% decade.